If you’re the folk out in charge of something then the first duty is to actually learn summat about that something. This is the first part of the task that Alok Sharma is avoiding:
Our planet is heating up, fast. On course, scientists tell us, for temperature rises of some 3.5C by 2100 compared to pre-industrial levels.
That isn’t true, it’s not true in the slightest, has never been true.
That makes the assumption that we are on the RCP 8.5 path. We never have been. More, we’ve diverged from it more and more as time goes by.
Remember what is necessary for that emissions pathway to come true. Firstly, we must be in an economy that doesn’t increase energy efficiency as time goes by. We’ve continued to increase energy efficiency so that’s one strike.
Secondly we must do two further things. One is run out of conventional oil and gas and secondly not exploit unconventional resources. This is also untrue, we have discovered and deployed fracking.
Thirdly we must feed that fossil dependent society it’s ever mawgaping energy desires through going back to the use of coal. This is so far from what is happening as to be a ludicrous assumption. In fact, RCP 8.5 assumes that we gain even more of our energy requirements from coal than we ever have done as a civilisation. Simply not happening and not going to.
Finally, and fourthly, it also requires that we don;t invent nor deploy any renewables. That isn’t what’s happening either.
That is, the entire thought that we’re heading for 3.5 oC is nonsense, nonsense upon stilts.
But this is a Tory who has bought into this nonsense. Worse than that:
Alok Sharma is president designate of Cop26 and the Conservative MP for Reading West
Could we, perhaps, just have the one or two people involved in this process who are cognisant of reality? You know, just a few?